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Intelligence with context. Foresight that shapes decisions. The DIWAN register publishes commissioned studies, briefings, and market intelligence across sectors and jurisdictions.
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Photo · Dave Proffer / Wikimedia Commons
Country intelligence
Burundi: Economic and Social Outlook 2026
A Comprehensive Analysis of Future Trends
Burundi's economy is projected to recover to a GDP of USD 3.4 billion in 2025, with a real GDP growth rate expected to reach 4.2%. Population growth continues at 2.4%, while inflation remains a concern at 34.1% in 2025. The country's urbanisation trend is gradually increasing, with urban population share rising to 25.7%. These factors will shape the investment landscape in the coming years.
USD 3.4 billionGDP, CURRENT USD (2025)
4.2REAL GDP GROWTH (2025)
USD 234GDP PER CAPITA, CURRENT USD (2025)
Photo · Supplied
Feasibility
Road Safety Crisis: Burundi
What would cut road deaths fastest in the world's poorest country per capita — and who pays for it
Burundi loses an estimated 1,546 lives a year to road crashes while officially recording 592 — a 2.6× undercount that is itself the first problem to fix. This feasibility study sequences five interventions by speed-to-lives-saved (crash data, post-crash care, corridor engineering, maintenance-backed enforcement, legal quick wins) and matches them to financing that already exists: a committed US$120M World Bank IDA corridor project, a lawful levy on mandatory third-party motor insurance, and catalytic grant windows. Indicative cost: US$10–20M over five years against US$30–60M of annual economic loss.
1,546ESTIMATED ANNUAL ROAD DEATHS (WHO, 2021)
38%SHARE OF DEATHS OFFICIALLY REPORTED
US$120MCOMMITTED IDA CORRIDOR FINANCING (2022)
