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Photo · Unsplash
Feasibility
Blue economy: big catch, little investment: Papua New Guinea
The investable gap is the vessel-to-factory link: cold chain, raw-material finance and EU-grade traceability
Papua New Guinea lands record tuna catches and already leads Pacific processing, yet in 2023 only about 27% of the 290,365 tonnes unloaded at its ports was processed onshore. Its largest cannery closed that year because fish supply was unreliable, not because plant capacity was short. This study maps the value chain, sizes the gap and ranks entry plays. A cold-storage and raw-material supply service in Lae and Madang comes first, then brownfield value-adding and certification services, with ports and the state-led industrial zone treated as later options. It sets out the licensing, EU-access and foreign-exchange conditions a first mover must manage.
290,365 tTUNA UNLOADED AT PNG PORTS, 2023
27%SHARE PROCESSED ONSHORE IN PNG, 2023
265,246 tPNG FLEET TUNA CATCH, 2024 RECORD
Photo · Shenandoah National Park from Virginia / Wikimedia Commons
Country intelligence
Papua New Guinea: Economic Outlook 2026
Forecasting Growth and Challenges
Papua New Guinea's economy is projected to grow with a GDP of USD 32.5 billion in 2025 and a real GDP growth rate of 5.6%. However, social indicators such as low urbanisation and limited access to electricity present ongoing challenges. The country remains vulnerable to external economic shocks and political instability, necessitating cautious investment strategies.
USD 32.5 billionGDP, CURRENT USD (2025)
5.6REAL GDP GROWTH (2025)
USD 3,020GDP PER CAPITA, CURRENT USD (2025)
