Reading the register.
Reading the register.
Intelligence with context. Foresight that shapes decisions. The DIWAN register publishes commissioned studies, briefings, and market intelligence across sectors and jurisdictions.
Uganda now has more generating capacity than it uses, yet about 23 million people still lack electricity and factories still run diesel. Where private capital fits: mini-grids, captive power in industrial zones, and network PPPs
Uganda's power problem has moved from generation to delivery. Installed capacity reached about 2,048 MW in 2024 against a 2025 system peak of about 1,351 MW, but 44.7% of people still lack access, losses run near 17% and manufacturers report frequent outages. The 2030 National Energy Compact targets 85% access, US$17.7 billion of investment (US$9.4 billion private) and 2,712 mini-grids from a base of about 45. This study compares three investable models: bundled mini-grid concessions for remote demand, captive solar-plus-storage for industrial zones (a price case for commercial and mid-size users, a reliability case for the largest), and PPPs in transmission and distribution rather than new bulk generation. All illustrative figures are labelled.
An analysis of Uganda's growth trajectory and socio-economic indicators
By 2026, Uganda's GDP is projected to reach USD 62.0 billion, reflecting a sustained growth trend. The population is anticipated to grow to approximately 51.4 million, with urbanisation increasing. However, challenges such as inflation and health expenditure may impact overall development. These dynamics present both opportunities and risks for investment.
Uganda's power problem has moved from generation to delivery. Installed capacity reached about 2,048 MW in 2024 against a 2025 system peak of about 1,351 MW, but 44.7% of people still lack access, losses run near 17% and manufacturers report frequent outages. The 2030 National Energy Compact targets 85% access, US$17.7 billion of investment (US$9.4 billion private) and 2,712 mini-grids from a base
Read this studyPhoto: Kia Sheikhy